Journal of JSCE
Online ISSN : 2187-5103
ISSN-L : 2187-5103
Paper
SIMULATION OF RADIOACTIVE TRACER TRANSPORT USING ISORSM AND UNCERTAINTY ANALYSES
Akane SAYAKei YOSHIMURATaikan OKI
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2015 Volume 3 Issue 1 Pages 60-66

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Abstract

 Due to the massive earthquakes and tsunami on March 11th, 2011 in Eastern Japan, Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant was severely damaged and some reactors were exploded. Then radioactive particles were widely spread out. In this study, we modified the stable isotope module of RSM (IsoRSM, Yoshimura et al.) to enable to simulate the transport of the radioactive tracers, namely iodine 131 and cesium 137, by including the dry and wet deposition processes. The control experiment with 10km resolution and the emission estimated by Chino et al. (2011) showed reasonable temporal results for Toukatsu area (eastern part of Tokyo metropolis and western part of Chiba prefecture), i.e., on March 22th, the tracers from Fukushima was reached and precipitated in a significant amount as wet deposition. Thus, we conducted 4 experimental simulations to analyze the uncertainty due to different meteorological patterns and different parameters for wet and dry deposition and diffusion. Though the temporal patterns of deposition of radioactive particles were moderately similar each other in all experiments, we revealed that the deposition parameters and boundary conditions can cause the uncertainties largely in the distribution of deposition.

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© 2015 Japan Society of Civil Engineers
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