FORECASTING THE LIFE VULNERABILITY OF RESIDENTIAL AREA
2021 Volume 2 Issue J2 Pages 370-377
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2021 Volume 2 Issue J2 Pages 370-377
In this study, taking the case of local city in Ishikawa prefecture as an example, using the network analysis, the facility coverage rate of each town was scored based on the existence and type of facilities that satisfy the needs of living within a 10-minute walk from the facility, and the k-means method was used. We estimated the future of life vulnerability considering the change of population and the possibil-ity of withdrawal of facilities.
Comparing the life vulnerability between 2020 and 2045 as an analysis result, It is predicted that the fragile area will expand due to the shrinking walking range and the withdrawal of facilities due to the ag-ing and declining population. In addition, areas with high vulnerability to living will rise significantly. The result was that the area of sufficient life maintained the status quo, but this is due to the influx and concentration of vulnerable town characters into the center of the city, which is expected to reduce the size of the city itself.
