Abstract
In examining the relation between the uncertainty evaluation and delay avoidance in modal choice, our aim is to solve three problems: 1. Formulating a delay avoidance model on the correlation between the travel time based on uncertainty evaluation and the arrival delay based on delay avoidance model; 2, the necessity of delay avoidance as a decisive factor in modal choice; 3. the empirical validity of uncertainty evaluation and delay avoidance. For this, we calibrate an improved disaggregate logit model on airport access trip data, and focus on our objectives comparing the results by AIC.
