DEVELOPMENT OF MODEL FOR FORECASTING INTERNATIONAL CONTAINER CARGO FLOW AND ITS APPLICATION TO MAJOR ASIAN-PACIFIC SERVICE ROUTES

Abstract

The present paper aims to analyze the market structure of Asian-Pacific container cargo flow. First, it is regarded that the market is consisted by two different types of economic subject; the linership companies as the carriers and the shippers as the users. Each subject's behavior is formulated. Second, it is shown that the equilibrium vessel frequency and the container cargo flow are obtained as the Nash type equilibrium solution. And the equilibrium conditions are shown. Thrid, the model is applied to the real Asian-Pacific container cargo transportation network, and the structural features of the Asian-Pacific container cargo transport network are understood.