Doboku Gakkai Ronbunshu
Online ISSN : 1882-7187
Print ISSN : 0289-7806
ISSN-L : 0289-7806
ROUTE CHOICE BASED INDUCTIVE REASONING AND ROAD TRANSPORTATION SYSTEM'S DYNAMICS
Shoichiro NAKAYAMARyuichi KITAMURA
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JOURNAL FREE ACCESS

2000 Volume 2000 Issue 660 Pages 53-63

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Abstract
Under uncertainty, people do not necessarily behave stochastically, but behave based on rules and regulations which they form through their experiences. We formulated the route choice based on such inductive reasoning, and constructed the model of road transportation system. The aim of this study is to examine the behavior of road transportation system and route choice through simulation analysis. The results of the simulation, agents form “delusion” which means an extremely biased perception of the travel time, and habit which allow their behavior to be frozen. If the agents deliberate, the system nearly converges to user equilibrium; otherwise the system does not necessarily converge to it.
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© by Japan Society of Civil Engineers
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