Abstract
The present paper deals with evaluation and simulation of seismic system risk of intercity railway system. The analytical framework of the proposed method system combining reliability theory by means of minimum pass set and outage time evaluation considering seismic damage correlation is first formulated.
Two series of numerical simulations; three basic models and simplified intercity railway system including parametric studies with regards to damage correlation, are then carried out. Major outputs of simulations such as seismic event risk curves of outage time of the system, recover process presentation in post-earthquake and bottleneck index of each unites are presented and discussed.
