Abstract
Travel demand forecasting, which was conducted by public administration for implementing transportaion planning, has been criticized severely because of the failure of future prediction. Recently, the importance of the prediction with interval in consideration of future uncertainty has been widely recognized. However, it has never been examined that how they should show residents a prediction result with interval and acquire public concensus. This study aims at clarifying a problem about travel demand forecasting. First, it clarified that the essence of residents' consciousness about travel demand forecasting through the attitude survey. Second, the structural models of public attitude towards travel demand forecasting were analyzed. Finally, the empirical analysis result showed that the possibility of accepting prediction result with interval by residents and how to show residents a prediction results were discussed.
