Abstract
The CO2 emissions of China exceeded America in 2005. Since then, China became the top and takes 20% of the CO2 emission in the whole world. Since China has a vast territory and differences in different provinces, when discussing the solution of reducing the CO2 emission, it is essential to take the effect of supply chain's upstream of industry and downstream which is including household expenditures, population and urbanization into account. Therefore the direct emission and embodied emissions based on household expenditures are important. The objectives of this study are to estimate the direct and embodied emission in the province levels, urban and rural separately and to take the emission intensity affected by economic development and policy, household expenditures, population and urbanization rate into account to estimate the future embodied emission of each provinces. Consequently, it turns out that the CO2 emissions will be increased by the regional development policy, urbanization, and the change of household consumption. On the other hand, it will be decreased by the improvement of the indirect emission intensity in the upstream of supply chain.
