INCREASE IN SIMPLE PRECIPITATION INTENSITY INDEX IN PANAMA

Abstract

The paper describes trends in climate change indices in the Republic of Panama by using long-term meteorological data sets from the Panama Canal and MRI-AGCM. Simple precipitation intensity index from eleven climate change indices shows the same trend, increasing at six meteorological stations around the Panama Canal. Forward projection (from 2080 to 2099) was carried out by using MRI-AGCM3.1S and 3.2S, which demonstrates an increase in simple precipitation intensity index in the entire area of Panama. The increase in simple precipitation intensity index may suggest that stronger precipitation will occur more frequently in the future in Panama.