2018 Volume 74 Issue 5 Pages I_1321-I_1326
The usage of the ECMWF ensemble forecasts of precipitation for reservoir operation was considered. The most applicable index is an average of 6th to 15th ranking members by cumulative rain. Actual rainfall was located between an average of 1st to 5th ranking values by every 3hours and an average of 37th to 46th ranking members by cumulative rain. The proposed index was applied to the simplified calculation, demonstrating the effectives to consider operational ensemble forecasts of precipitation in reservoir for pre-discharge.
PROCEEDINGS OF HYDRAULIC ENGINEERING
