Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B1 (Hydraulic Engineering)
Online ISSN : 2185-467X
ISSN-L : 2185-467X
Annual Journal of Hydraulic Engineering, JSCE, Vol.63
ROPOSAL OF THE CORRECTION FORMULA OF PROBABILITY RAINFALL PRODUCED BY 20-km d4PDF FOR GIFU PREFECTURE
Toshiharu KOJIMAYasuyuki MARUYAMorihiro HARADA
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2018 Volume 74 Issue 5 Pages I_133-I_138

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Abstract

 This study proposes the simple correction formula of probability rainfall of 20-km d4PDF (database for Policy Decision making for Future climate change) for Gifu prefecture. Probability rainfalls by current climate simulation data of d4PDF and ground-based observation data by JMA are compared each by cumulative rainfall time. The relationships of the t-hour cumulative extreme rainfall of d4PDF and ground-based observation are proposed as follows: G1’T =1.74 D1’T, G168’T =0.74 D168’T., where, Dt’T, and Gt’T are T-year extreme probability t-hour cumulative rainfall of d4PDF and ground-based observation gage, respectively. RMSE for hourly rainfall is 18.1 mm, which is 22% of average value, and also RMSE for 168-hourly rainfall is 168mm, which is 30% of average value. The authors obtain the correction formula for short term rainfall with good accuracy and for long term rainfall with enough accuracy to predict landslide disaster.

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© 2018 Japan Society of Civil Engineers
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