Japanese Journal of JSCE
Online ISSN : 2436-6021
Special Issue (Earthquake Engineering)Paper
SEISMIC LANDSLIDE RISK ASSESSMENT METHOD BASED ON DISASTER PREVENTION CHART AND STABILITY SURVEY TABLES FOR DETECTING ISOLATED COMMUNITIES
Katsuki HOZUMIHisakazu SAKAIYoshio KAJITANI
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2023 Volume 79 Issue 13 Article ID: 22-13005

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Abstract

 Earthquakes frequently induce landslides and slope failures which trigger many communities to be isolated. In this study, we proposed an estimation methodology for detecting isolated communities in mountain regions using slope failure probabilities during earthquakes. This methodology was constructed of the Structural Equation Modeling and the Logistic Regression Analysis using the disaster prevention charts and the stability survey tables. The SMOTE (Synthetic Minority Over-sampling Technique) was introduced for estimating slope failure probability more accurately by increasing the failure data equivalent to the non-failure one. Furthermore, we evaluated the community isolation risk in Wakayama prefecture based on the proposed road network disruption probability. Finally, we revealed the detecting method for the economic slope failure countermeasure sites in one sample case.

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© 2023 Japan Society of Civil Engineers
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