Abstract
This study analyzes the effects of bus conversions on the population of station areas and the public transportation share of local railroads, considering the number of trains and buses in operation on the routes. Specifically, 104 routes with a traffic density of 4,000 passengers/day or less from 1977 to 1979 were selected, and the effects of the number of trains and buses operated on the routes after conversion and the changes in the number of trains and buses operated before and after conversion on the station population and the public transportation sharing ratio were clarified. Specifically, we found that the conversion of local railroad lines to bus lines decreases the station population and the public transportation sharing ratio compared to the case where the railroad lines remain in operation, and that the difference is statistically significant. The results also show that when the number of buses after conversion and the change in the number of buses before and after conversion are the same as those of railroads, the public transportation sharing ratio declines on the bus conversion route compared to the route with the continuation of railroads, and the difference is statistically significant.
