Japanese Journal of JSCE
Online ISSN : 2436-6021
Special Issue (Global Environment Engineering)Paper
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF MUNICIPAL POPULATION CHANGE AND THEIR FACTORS CAUSED BY FLOOD DAMAGE
Ayaka OKAMOTOHayata YANAGIHARASo KAZAMAYusuke HIRAGA
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2023 Volume 79 Issue 27 Article ID: 23-27044

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Abstract

 As an initial study to clarify the impact of flood disasters on population change, this study quantitatively analyzes the impact of flood damage on the rate of change in the social population in all municipalities in Japan in the case of recent flood damage. The variables selected to represent the scale of flood damage were the area inundated, the percentage of households inundated under the floor, inundated above the floor, and the percentage of households totally destroyed or lost in each municipality. The results of both multiple regression and DID analyses showed that the rate of households inundated under the floor, the rate of households inundated above the floor, and the rate of households totally destroyed and lost had a negative impact on the rate of change in the social population (p < 0.05). Floods have a negative impact on social population change at the municipal level in recent flood disasters in Japan, i.e., they reduce the social population.

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© 2023 Japan Society of Civil Engineers
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