2025 Volume 81 Issue 16 Article ID: 24-16137
Currently, the ensemble climate databases used in flood control planning and disaster risk assessments correspond to fixed warming levels in both past and future climates. However, continuous projections are crucial for discussions on adaptation measures over time. Performing continuous climate reproductions and projections from the past to the future with a large number of ensemble members is challenging. This study proposes a mathematical method that incorporates information theory and the conservation laws of the physical occurrence frequencies of extreme hydrological events, enabling the creation of time-continuous and large ensemble climate information.
