Abstract
The Ayerwaddy Region of the Republic of the Union of Myanmar, facing the Bay of Bengal and the Andaman Sea, was hit by Cyclone Nargis in May 2008. The cyclone caused a huge storm surge and brought about 140, 000 death or missing.
The Project on Establishment of End-to-End Early Warning System for Natural Disaster in the Republic of the Union of Myanmar has been conducted by Japan International Cooperation Agency(JICA) to mitigate such disaster which would be caused by a cyclone at the coastal area of Myanmar. The authors participated in this Project and found it is important to transfer technology to observe and predict tide level more precisely using a harmonic analysis in the coastal area so that residents can take proper evacuation actions well before a storm surge hits.
The authors therefore introduced a simple observation and prediction method of tide level with the survey ribbon rod and installed at 3 places which suffered the damage caused by Cyclones.
Furthermore, the author established the tide prediction method not only with the 10 constituents by short term observation , but also with multiple regression analysis which can be used in both of dry season and rainy season.
