Projection of extreme weathers in a future climate using super-high resolution AGCM and cloud-resolving NHRCM

Abstract

Processes of extreme weather events must be reproduced in numerical atmospheric models to project their changes in a changing climate with. Then, we perform a set of the future projection experiments to quantitatively assess the future extreme weather changes using a super-high resolution atmospheric general circulation model and a cloud-resolving non-hydrostatic regional climate model under the SRES A1B scenario. At the end of the 21st century,surface wind speeds within a 200 km radius of the tropical cyclone center at land areas is projected to increase, and the 5-day precipitation total in Asia is projected to increase. The Baiu over Japan is modified due to a changing climate.