Proceeding of Annual Conference
24th Annual Conference (2011), Japan Society of Hydrology and Water Resources
Session ID : 48
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Host: The Japan Society of Hydrology and Water Resources

Climate change and global environmentf (2) (16:00-17:30, 1st, September)
Future Change of Monthly Precipitation Variation and Daily Precipitation Intensity in Multi-GCMs
*Yuri MICHIHIRO, Yoshinobu SATO, Yasushi SUZUKI
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Keywords: climate change, GCM, precipitation variation, precipitation intensity, uncertainty
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Abstract
In this study, future change of precipitation characteristic was examined using the multi-GCMs of CMIP3 (including 24 models) and MRI-AGCM (3.1S and 3.2S). The standard deviation of monthly precipitation and daily precipitation intensity in the top 2% were evaluated. The former is related to drought, the latter is related to flood. The result shows that both index would increase in the future, depending on the GCM.
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© 2011 Japan Society Hydrology and Water Resource
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