JSIAM Letters
Online ISSN : 1883-0617
Print ISSN : 1883-0609
ISSN-L : 1883-0617
Modified ruin probability for a Cramér–Lundberg model driven by a compound mixed Poisson process
Noriyoshi Sakuma , Momoka Tashiro
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2026 Volume 18 Pages 61-64

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Abstract

We study modified ruin probabilities in a Cramér–Lundberg model driven by a compound mixed Poisson process. In the heavy-tailed regime, if the integrated claim-size distribution is subexponential and the upper endpoint of the mixing distribution stays below the net-profit boundary, the modified and classical ruin probabilities are asymptotically equivalent. In the light-tailed regime, we prove a fixed-intensity ratio theorem and obtain both an endpoint-atom result and a sharp endpoint-density asymptotic with an explicit constant.

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© 2026 The Japan Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
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