2006 Volume 49 Issue 2 Pages 395-400
A novel grey model, called pseudo-GM(2,1) or PGM21 for simplicity, is developed to improve the prediction accuracy for a non-monotone sequence by modifying the GM(1,1) model with a remedial term. Since the remedial term consists of two development coefficients, it can be treated as a kind of second-order information, called the pseudo second-order information in this paper. With the remedial term, the PGM21 only costs a little higher computation time than the original GM(1,1) model; however, its prediction accuracy is highly increased. The important features of the PGM21 are demonstrated by numeric simulation results.
JSME international journal. Ser. 1, Solid mechanics, strength of materials
JSME international journal. Ser. A, Mechanics and material engineering
JSME international journal. Ser. 3, Vibration, control engineering, engineering for industry
JSME international journal. Ser. C, Dynamics, control, robotics, design and manufacturing
JSME International Journal Series A Solid Mechanics and Material Engineering
JSME International Journal Series B Fluids and Thermal Engineering