The Proceedings of the International Conference on Nuclear Engineering (ICONE)
Online ISSN : 2424-2934
2015.23
Session ID : ICONE23-1014
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ICONE23-1014 PROBABILITY ESTIMATION OF POTENTIAL HARM TO HUMAN HEALTH AND LIFE CAUSED BY A HYPOTHETICAL NUCLEAR ACCIDENT AT THE NUCLEAR POWER PLANT
Vladyslav SoloviovYevgen Pysmenniy
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Abstract

This paper describes some general methodological aspects of the assessment of the damage to human life and health caused by a hypothetical nuclear accident at the nuclear power plant (NPP). Probability estimation of death (due to cancer and non-cancer effects of radiation injury), disability and incapacity of individuals were made by taking into account the regulations of Ukraine. According to the assessment, the probability of death due to cancer and non-cancer effects of radiation damage to individuals who received radiation dose of 1 Sv is equal to 0.09. Probability of disability of 1, 2 or 3 group regardless of the radiation dose is 0.009, 0.0054, 0.027, respectively. Probability of temporary disability of the individual who received dose equal to 33 mSv (the level of potential exposure in a hypothetical nuclear accident at the NPP) is equal 0.16. This probability estimation of potential harm to human health and life caused by a hypothetical nuclear accident can be used for NPP in different countries using requirements of regulations in these countries. And also to estimate the amount of insurance payments due to the nuclear damage in the event of a nuclear accident at the NPP or other nuclear industry enterprise.

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© 2015 The Japan Society of Mechanical Engineers
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