Proposal of an Estimate of Box Office Revenues Using a Movie Scripts – Case of Romance Movies in Japan

Abstract

In recent years, Japanese film’s revenue has more increase than before. For gaining a lot of films’ performance income, it is important for the customer to occur the unusual emotion. It is usually said that the succeeding movie has been introducing a various emotional tendency in the scene and customer’s unusual emotional undulations. A movie script must help the implementation method for creating the emotion. This research, therefore, focuses on the relationship among the movie script and the performance income. This research proceeds two ways: one is the movie script is counted and quantified by basic data of movies and cleared the relationship among its quantification and the movie’s revenue by statistical analysis. Second, basic information, such as an award history of directors and the number of performers, and evaluation of the box office revenue. An assessment framework sets and makes clear the relationship among the movie script, the award history, and the box office revenue. This research is finding two kinds of things: 1) It is able to reduce errors by using movie script and the emotional undulations relationship for predicting the box office revenue. 2) Young actors are useful to promote the main actors in romantic movies.