Journal of Japan Society on Water Environment
Online ISSN : 1881-3690
Print ISSN : 0916-8958
ISSN-L : 0916-8958
TECHNICAL REPORT
Application of Ecological Models to Ecological Risk Assessment
The Extrapolation and the Life History Sensitivity Analysis
Yoshinari TANAKAJunko NAKANISHI
Author information
JOURNAL FREE ACCESS

1998 Volume 21 Issue 9 Pages 616-623

Details
Abstract
Ecotoxicological data using life table evaluation are reviewed and analyzed with the power function model. Life table evaluation and population growth experiments are proposed as experimental procedures that provide demographic parameters (e.g. intrinsic rate of natural increase) relevant for calculating extinction risk due to pollutant exposure. Totally 47 concentration vs. intrinsic rate data sets were collected and analyzed with two indices in the power function model, α and β. The α-value is the concentration at which the intrinsic rate of increase drops off below zero due to exposure and the β-value represents curvature of the response. The α-values, which represent strength of ecological toxicity, are highly correlated with acute LC50s. It is indicated that the α-values are indirectly predictable from acute LC50s. Such statistical extrapolation may be useful for ecological risk assessment based on extinction probability of populations.
Content from these authors
© 1998 Japan Society on Water Environment
Previous article
feedback
Top