Projection of Extreme Waves under a Global Warming Scenario

Abstract

The influence of global climate change due to green house effects on the earth environment will require impact assessment, mitigation and adaptation strategies for the future of our society. This study projects future extreme ocean wave climate in comparison with present wave climate based on the atmospheric general circulation model and global wave model. The extreme sea surface winds and waves are analyzed based on extreme value methods in detail. There is a clear regional dependence of extreme winds and wave heights changes from present to future climates. The extreme wave heights of future climate would be increased significantly in tropical cyclone areas.