Journal of Japan Logistics Society
Online ISSN : 1884-6866
Print ISSN : 1349-3345
ISSN-L : 1349-3345
An Analysis of Route Choice Model on Cargo Transport for Modal Shift Policy
An Application of Random Parameter Logit Model
Hidekazu ITOH
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2008 Volume 2008 Issue 16 Pages 201-208

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Abstract
Increased needs are identified in Japan to reduce environmental pollutions due to inter-regional cargo transport by the modal shift from truck use to railway and domestic maritime shipping uses. We analyze the cargo transport behaviors by using random parameter logit model, which is recently watched. The main database for this study is “The survey of cargo flow in 2000”. This data set contains disaggregated data of each shipper's commodity, volume, origin and destination, modes and routes, and ports, stations and facilities. This result indicates the time value of short-distance maritime transport users is higher than the environmentally friendly transport users' one, reflecting various consumers' needs for logistics services. Moreover, lot size is an influential factor for the air transport users. The analysis of elasticity effects brings that the speed up of rail transport makes a contribution to modal shift by comparison with other transports and the port accessibility within Hokkaido is a bottleneck for the long-distance maritime transport usage.
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