A Tentative Treatise on Predicting the Concentrative Cloudburst, Using the Concept of Air-layer Pregnant with Instability

Abstract

The present essay reports on the method of predicting the possible center of a cloudburst which uses the concept of air-layer pregnant with instability, and on its application to some typical cases of cloudburst experienced in recent years in the western part of Japan. The result shows that the method, incorporated in synoptic operation, can be fairly well applied to the prediction of the burst-point.