Development of the typhoon hazard estimation using the Monte Carlo method

Abstract

A typhoon is one of the natural disasters to often give heavy damage to human life and a building. There are various laws and standards to reduce the damage in the natural disaster. For secure severe with the important building for a natural disaster, it is necessary to perform the typhoon strong wind hazard evaluation by the long-term reproduction period. In reference to a guide of the American Nuclear Regulatory Commission, we develop a typhoon hazard evaluation system using the Monte Carlo method. The developed evaluation system, including moving model, the intensity evaluation model, the wind field model is almost appropriate, but we understood the improvement in each model.