Disaster management with information for hazardous weather (Part1) - Proposition of the forecast verifi cation based on the true recognition of scores-

Abstract

Scholars, implementers (disaster prevention government offices or private weather corporations), communica-tors (i.e., mass-media), users, advisers (disaster management consultant), who concerned with information for haz-ardous weather, must intimately cooperate with one another and establish disaster management. Especially, con-sidering with the true recognition of scores, the Scholars, implementers must investigate and express the weather phenomena probabilities and the quantitative trade-off relation between hit rate and false alarm rate, i.e., ROC (receiver operating characteristic) curve in the signal detection theory.