Abstract
The study examines the trends in intergenerational mobility using the survival analysis. It focuses on the intergenerational inheritance of the upper white-collar class and of the non-skilled manual class, and uses four historical periods, rather than the survey years, as the unit of trend analysis in order to specify the effect of historical context. The study examines separately the entry into the upper white-collar class or into the non-skilled manual class at the time of the first entry into the labor market and the entry into the upper white-collar class or into the non-skilled manual class during the career history.
The analysis reveals that the entry into both the upper white-collar class and the non-skilled manual class at the time of the first labor market entry is strongly affected by class origin. However, the effect of class origin does not vary by the historical context. The analysis predicting the hazard rate of entry into the upper white-collar class (or into the non-skilled manual class), given that the person has not entered the class, presents a different picture. The chances of these people for reaching the upper white-collar class (or the non-skilled manual class) through their occupational career are strongly affected by class origin. Furthermore, the effect of class origin appears to be stronger in the most recent period of 1996-2005. In other words, the inheritance of the upper white-collar class and of the non-skilled manual class seems to have increased in recent period.
