Proceedings of the Conference of Transdisciplinary Federation of Science and Technology
The 3rd Conference of Transdisciplinary Federation of Science and Technology
Session ID : 1N3-2
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Decision Support under Buisiness Uncertainty
Senario Analysis
*Shingo Takahashi
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Abstract

This paper describes the role of social simulations for decision support under business complexity. The business complexity is characterized a systems property stemming from essentially limited experiences of people such as managers. Social simulations is expected to provide decision makers, who are facing on the business complex situation, with effective ways of thinking the possibilities of options. This paper proposes the concept of landscape of the bundle of possibilities and the method of scenario analysis, and demonstrates some simulation examples. Finally we discuss the viewpoint of the role of social simulations in decision support for managers.

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© 2009 Transdisciplinary Federation of Science and Technology
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