2G08 Towards a general model of technological forecasting : the Lotka-volterra systems
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We recapitulate several challenges to the study of technological forecasting and changes and suggest that studies of diffusion of technologies must increasingly take into account interaction between new and other existing technologies or institutions. This paper revisits the Lotka-Volterra (LV) system and proposes that it may serve as an alternative formalism to start with in order to address the multi-dimensional aspect of technology diffusion.
