2010 Volume 16 Pages 77-82
We tried to evaluate basins sediment production in future by using GCM (General Circulation model) outputs and digital numerical information. Basins sediment production based calculation on slope failure probability model and sediment produce estimation model. The radius of sediment production is obtained by sediment produce estimation model using some GCM outputs and SRES (Special Report on Emissions Scenarios).
The results obtained are as follows; 1) Japan northern areas are estimated a lot of sediment production due to occurrence increase maximum daily extreme, 2) Sediment production increases remarkably by changing Future climate condition (2081-2100).