Quarterly Report of RTRI
Online ISSN : 1880-1765
Print ISSN : 0033-9008
ISSN-L : 0033-9008
An Estimation Method of the Number of On-board Passengers Applicable to Evaluation of Traffic Rescheduling Plans
Chikara HIRAINorio TOMII
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2001 Volume 42 Issue 4 Pages 195-200


We propose a method to estimate the number of on-board passengers for a given train traffic rescheduling plan. Based on the estimates by this method, we can calculate the evaluation indices of the rescheduling plan from the viewpoint of passengers. Our method is composed of two interactive simulations. One is a train traffic simulation that represents the movements of trains based on the given rescheduling plan. The other is a passengers flow simulation that represents passengers' choices for their own desirable trains based on the Logit model. We show how our method works with a simple example that clarifies inherent problems.

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© 2001 by Railway Technical Research Institute
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