2020 Volume 14 Issue 1 Pages 41-46
[Objective] In order to make quantitative estimates that long-term care services could be substituted by informal care and others in near future. [Method] We conducted a questionnaire survey anonymously according to the Delphi method for caremanagers. The survey included work locations, background qualifications, and the expected alternative rates of current public long-term care insurance services. [Result] 90 people volunteered for the survey (response rate 75.6%). The rate at which substitution is expected to be possible was the highest at 26.4% for home-care services, and the rates for day-care and night-time home-care services increased, especially after the discussion. Facility care was considered to be 19.4–20.7% alternative. The expectations for IT (information technology) and robots were safety confirmation, recreation, exercise, and so on. The expected replacement rate did not differ by care managersʼ age, gender, work location, and background qualification. [Conclusion] The possibility of substitution by informal care was expected greatly in visiting care and outpatient care.
