Abstract
Tokyo area has high risk of the Tokyo Inland Earthquake that may cause huge damage in the near future. In this paper, the number of heavily injured victims, who should be transported to key disaster hospitals or emergency hospitals in case of the expected Tokyo Inland Earthquake was estimated. The probability that heavily injured victims being transported to hospitals after rescue operation was described by the entropy model. Various scenarios were simulated by changing the parameters of the model in order to quantify the possible disaster situations. It was verified that not only the hospitals in the heavily affected area, but also the hospitals in the surrounding area should increase disaster response capacity and conduct countermeasures beforehand.
