SEISAN KENKYU
Online ISSN : 1881-2058
Print ISSN : 0037-105X
ISSN-L : 0037-105X
Research Flash
Effects of infection control policies on the final size
Naoya FUJIWARATomokatsu ONAGATakayuki WADAKazuyuki AIHARA
Author information
JOURNALS FREE ACCESS

2020 Volume 72 Issue 2 Pages 141-143

Details
Abstract

Infection control policies are expected to suppress the cumulative number of cases. In this research, we analyzed effects of infection control policies on the final size using the SIR model. We derived the final size equation in the presence of the policy intervention, and showed that the final size decreases compared with that without the intervention. We found that the final size may not necessarily be minimized when the policy intervention starts at the initial stage of the infection process. A numerical result supporting this fact was presented.

Information related to the author
© 2020 Institute of Industrial Science The University of Tokyo
Previous article Next article
feedback
Top