Analysis of Energy Crises in East Asia Using a Scenario Planning Method and It's Implications for Japan's Science and Technology Policy

Abstract

This proposes a scenario-planning-based-approach for the development of science and technology strategy through the analysis of energy crises in East Asia. This method, with the help of experts of various fields, enables the comprehensive understanding of the problem to be considered, the development of a robust science and technology strategy for uncertain future, and the evaluation of individual research and development themes from various aspects. This research conducts comprehensive analysis of risk factors, developments of two scenarios with the emphasis on 'China's future', and investigation of strategic viewpoints needed on science and technology and evaluation of individual research and development themes for each of the scenarios.