Prediction for Occurrence of Rapid Pollution in Coastal Insulators by Use of Conditional Probability

Abstract

This research is aimed at developing a prediction method of rapid pollution to determine the time at which to wash polluted insulators to avert detrimental conditions. The proposed prediction method consists Of conditional probability of occurrence of rapid pollution based on weather information, and appropriate determination of factors of the conditional probability through nonlinear transformation. The effectiveness of the proposed method is demonstrated by applying it to actual data taken at the Karatsu substation in Japan.