Proceedings of the ISCIE International Symposium on Stochastic Systems Theory and its Applications
Online ISSN : 2188-4749
Print ISSN : 2188-4730
The 32nd ISCIE International Symposium on Stochastic Systems Theory and Its Applications (Nov. 2000, Tottori)
A Filtering Model on Default Risk
Hidetoshi NAKAGAWA
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2001 Volume 2001 Pages 231-234

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Abstract
In this paper, we present a filtering model on a default risk related to mathematical finance. We regard the first hitting time at zero of a one dimensional process which starts at some positive number and is not directly observed as the time when a default occurs. We discuss the conditional law of the hitting time under imperfect information. We use the reference measure change technique and some formula on a kind of conditional expectation to obtain a so-called hazard rate process. It is also discussed what the relation between the hazard rate process and the conditional law of the hitting time is like.
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© 2001 ISCIE Symposium on Stochastic Systems Theory and Its Applications
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