Proceedings of the ISCIE International Symposium on Stochastic Systems Theory and its Applications
Online ISSN : 2188-4749
Print ISSN : 2188-4730
The 40th ISCIE International Symposium on Stochastic Systems Theory and Its Applications (Nov. 2008, Kyoto)
Cointegration Analysis of Monetary System in Japan with M2CD Decomposed into M1and Quasi CurrencyCD
Yoji MoritaYoshitaka SawadaShigeyoshi Miyagawa
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2009 Volume 2009 Pages 336-341

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Abstract
We analyze a money demand function in long equilibrium relation that is defined by a cointegration property among (money, gdp, interest rate). A wide sense of money ”M2CD” consists of narrow money ”M1” and wide one ”quasi currencyCD”. Preceding researchers considered the relationship of (M1, gdp, call rate), (M2CD, gdp, call rate) and (M2CD, gdp, spread interest rate), where call rate is a representative short-term interest rate and where spread is a difference between long-term interest rate and short-term one. It is obvious that M1 should be coupled with short-term interest rate. We showed that quasi currencyCD (denoted by q-money) should be considered by spread interest rate, and hence, rigorously speaking, M2CD should be coupled with two kinds of interest rates, i.e., short-term interest rate and spread one.
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© 2009 ISCIE Symposium on Stochastic Systems Theory and Its Applications
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