Proceedings of the ISCIE International Symposium on Stochastic Systems Theory and its Applications
Online ISSN : 2188-4749
Print ISSN : 2188-4730
The 48th ISCIE International Symposium on Stochastic Systems Theory and Its Applications (Nov. 2016, FUKUOKA)
Prediction System of Subway Traffic Flow and Appropriate Parameters Shifting
Yutaka KonoKazuyuki Nakamura
Author information
JOURNAL FREE ACCESS

2017 Volume 2017 Pages 168-173

Details
Abstract

Japanese railway network especially in metropolitan area has become more complex or overcrowded. Railway companies must recovery stable operations when any accidents or troubles happen in their railway lines. However, computational supports for resolving train rescheduling problems are limited due to complexity of these problems. To make computational supports expanded, it is important to predict the behavior of trains exactly. In this research, we applied a theoretical traffic flow model to a real line in Tokyo. We observe that area of good parameters shifts according to time period or simulated train. Finally we conclude that the relation between given parameters and the accuracy of predictions is so complex that we cannot improve that accuracy only by enlarging the number of cells that are used in the employed Cellular Automata model.

Content from these authors
© 2017 ISCIE Symposium on Stochastic Systems Theory and Its Applications
Previous article Next article
feedback
Top