Abstract
For the worst-case analysis of a space structure's shape on orbit, various factors such as effects of thermal deformation, aged deterioration, and material hysteresis should be considered. Furthermore, the parameters of each factor have some uncertainty, such as in material properties. Therefore, in shape prediction, the consideration of these various factors and their parameters' uncertainties leads to a combinatorial explosion. To solve this problem, the factors are classified by the mode shape of deformation. If the mode shapes of some factors have high correlation, those factors are categorized in the same group. Within each group, maximum and minimum deformations are analyzed considering the uncertainty in the parameters. Among the groups with low correlation, deformations are evaluated using a combination of the maximum and minimum deformations from each group. As a result, the combinations of factors and parameters are drastically reduced. Such a shape prediction method was applied to a large deployable antenna structure of ASTRO-G. In this study, the performance of this antenna is evaluated using GRASP analysis for the predicted antenna shapes.
