The purpose of this paper is to review theoretical articles on urban unemployment and ruralurban migration in LDC's. The main issues discussed are (a) whether Lewis type economic development can or cannot decrease urban unemployment, (b) what policies lead a LDC economy to the optimal position in which labor is allocated efficiently between the rural agriculture and urban manufacturing without urban unemployment, (c) why the level of wage in the manufacturing sector does not fall to the competitive one irrespective of urban unemployment, (d) why the income differential (per capita rural income/per capita urban wage of employees) becomes greater than the unemployment ratio in the urban area, and (e) under what condition the so-called ‘Todaro paradox’ arises.
In the Harris-Todaro framework, the unemployment ratio in the urban area does not fall as long as the rural wage rises as more employment opportunities are created in the urban area, while the level of urban unemployed workers either increase or decrease depending on how quickly the rural wage rises. The manufacturing wage is fixed substantially higher than the competitive one through the minimum wage legislation (Harris-Todaro), the wage-labor efficiency relationship (Leibenstein), the hiring-training cost for newly employed workers (Stiglitz), limited investment opportunities (Gersovitz), the Trade Union's activity (Calvo), and the unfavorable movement of the relative price under the minimum wage legislation (Takagi).
The Harris-Todaro model explains the existence of urban unemployment at equilibrium, while the discussion of the Todaro paradox presuppose the existence of urban unemployment. An important point is that the probability of getting an urban job is not a known variable but unknown expected one, because the growth rate of urban employment opportunities and number of migrants during the coming period are unknown.
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