To predict strong ground motions for future large earthquakes including huge subduction earthquakes, it is important to take into account the effects of soil nonlinearity. The author has been developing a simple method to simulate strong ground motions taking into account multiple nonlinear effects (e.g., Nozu and Morikawa, 2003). The method, however, has been validated only for limited amount of strong motion data, partly because there was only a limited amount of strong motion data affected by soil nonlinearity. Therefore, in this article, making use of strong motion data for the 2011 Tohoku earthquake and the source model developed for the same earthquake by the author (Nozu, 2012), strong motion simulation with considerations of multiple nonlinear effects was conducted and its effectiveness was studied. In particular, strong motion records with the evident effects of soil nonlinearity were selected and they were simulated using the source model and taking into account empirical site amplification and phase effects (Nozu et al., 2009). Soil nonlinearity was considered using the method of Nozu and Morikawa (2003). The method uses two parameters to represent the effects of soil nonlinearity; one representing the reduction of averaged shear wave velocity within the sediment (ν
1) and the other representing the increase of averaged damping factor within the sediment (ν
2). In the simulation, ν
1 was basically determined based on Wakai and Nozu (2013) and ν
2 was determined so that the observed ground motion could be simulated as accurately as possible. As a result, it was found that, the duration of strong ground motions tended to be overestimated if the parameter ν
2 was not used for the sites with the effect of soil nonlinearity, which is indicating the effects of multiple nonlinear effects. In each of the target sites, by using these two parameters, the simulation result was improved. Thus, the effectiveness of strong motion simulation with considerations of multiple nonlinear effects was confirmed. Based on the results, the application of the method for future earthquakes was also discussed.
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