Since 2015, occurrences of Karenia spp. blooms have been documented in Hakodate Bay, potentially expanding to the Pacific coastal area of Hokkaido via the Tsugaru Warm Current. However, available information on the expanding distribution remains limited. This study aims to elucidate the distribution of Karenia spp. in Hidaka Bay, which is an area downstream of the Tsugaru Warm current from Hakodate Bay, using image analysis technology, specifically the FlowCam, following a comprehensive quantitative assessment to facilitate cell detection. The FlowCam could detect Karenia spp., with assured quantitative precision when the cell density exceeds 1 cell mL−1. Counting resulted in lower calculated densities that varied widely, suggesting potential subsampling biases. Using the FlowCam’s software enabled image filtration of Karenia spp. from other plankton species with a maximum accuracy of 96%. Optimal filtering performance in the software was achieved through a combination of Equivalent Spherical Diameter, Aspect Ratio, and Average Green values. Despite a loss of ~10% of Karenia spp. images using the filter function, the application of this function significantly reduces the effort required for the cell sorting-out process. Field observations conducted in September 2022 revealed the presence of Karenia spp. across all stations in Hidaka Bay and Hakodate Bay. Furthermore, the observed gradient in cell density from the warmer waters of Hakodate Bay towards Hidaka Bay suggests the potential role of the Tsugaru Warm Current in facilitating transportation of Karenia spp. cells into Hidaka Bay.
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