Proceedings of the General Meeting of the Association of Japanese Geographers
Annual Meeting of the Association of Japanese Geographers, Spring 2013
Session ID : 212
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Host: The Association of Japanese Geographers

Abstract
Application of high-resolution meteorological forecast data on the agricultural early warning system
*Sayuri Okubo, Hiromitsu Kanno, Takashi Kobayashi, Shin Fukui, Toshiki Iwasaki
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Keywords: Ensemble forecast, Application on agriculture, Rice leaf blast
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Abstract
Mid-range forecast of leaf blast was calculated by using results of hindcast experiment. The 2-weeks hindcast results downscaled from 1.25º to 5 km were applied to BLASTAM (leaf blast model). The predicted risks of leaf blast were expressed as ensemble-based occurrence probability. Distribution of the probability BLASTAM was expressed precisely in the period when the synoptic pattern was reproduced with sufficient accuracy.
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© 2013 The Association of Japanese Geographers
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