Abstract
In this study, the spatial structure of the residential land development was analyzed for the whole area of Kagawa Prefecture. Binominal logit model was used as an analysis method. As the result, it became clear that the probability of the residential land envelopment could estimate by the high level of the goodness of fit. It also became clear that in addition to the important factor of the land use change like geographical features, geological features, and the population distribution, the initial land use condition plays very important role. Moreover it also became clear that to estimate the probability of the residential land development only by initial land use condition is possible at a considerable level.