Study on Negotiating Strategy for Post-Kyoto Protocol about Easing Climate Change

Abstract

It is necessary to agree on political and international framework to ease climate change. In Japan, we have no weighty alternative to Kyoto Protocol framework, and play second fiddle under negotiation. On the basis of such fact, the aim of this study is presenting effective and realistic alternative to Kyoto Protocol framework to help build consensus within Japan. To put it concretely, we search for a broad outline of such proposal with the Analytic Hierarchy Process: AHP, investigate maximum likelihood scenario with Cross Impact Matrix Method, and estimate CO₂ emission per unit of the steel industry as an example. As a consequence, sectoral approach, which can be used widely, is the most influential alternative.