Forecasting Transportation Demand by Binary Logit Model, Light Rail System

抄録

In case of Car-LRT, in-vehicle travel time was found to be the main cause of shifting in modal choice from car to LRT while other modes are not as much impacted by the same, so if in-vehicle travel time were reduced through enhanced punctuality in the future, potential transport demand for LRT brought about by conversion from the demand for cars would exist. In cases of Bus-LRT and Taxi-LRT, out-of-vehicle travel time was responded to be the major cause of shifting in modal choice, so should waiting and transfer times be made long on account of bad punctuality, the competitiveness of the new transport system is deemed to be very little. For the trip case(2), where transfer should be made and with cars, variation of in-vehicle travel time appears to be in important play where improvement of punctuality and intermodal connection measures are deemed required.