主催: Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies
p. 23
This paper tries to study the dynamic relationship between throughput of DCT and economic development of Northeast China with time-varying parameter state space model. The following three indicators are selected to be the explanatory variables: 1) actual GDP; 2) total value of export & import; 3) proportion of second industry output value to GDP, which represent the overall economic level, degree of economic opening and industry structure respectively. The conclusions are that the first and second indicators always have positive impact on the throughput of DCT, and the second indicator's influence has become more obvious than the first one since 2002. But the third indicator has a negative impact on it, and furthermore this influence has become stronger since 2000. Government should fully consider the impact of industry structure on the long-term development of DCT in order to avoid waste of resources.
